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Balanced Conditions Take Pressure Off Prices

A boost in new listings this month relative to sales caused April inventories to rise to 5,876 units. Although this is more than double the number reported last year, last year’s supply was exceptionally low, and current inventory levels are consistent with what we typically see in April. April sales reached 2,236 units—22 per cent below last year’s levels but in line with long-term trends.

“Economic uncertainty has weighed on home sales in our market, but levels are still outpacing activity reported during the challenging economic climate experienced prior to the pandemic,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “This, in part, is related to our market's situation before the recent shocks. Previous gains in migration, relatively stable employment levels, lower lending rates, and better supply choice compared to last year’s ultra-low levels have likely prevented a more significant pullback in sales and have kept home prices relatively stable.”

The rise in inventory levels helped the market shift to balanced conditions with nearly three months of supply. However, conditions vary depending on price range and property type. Lower-priced detached and semi-detached properties continue to struggle with insufficient supply, while row and apartment-style homes are seeing more broad-based shifts to balanced conditions.

The additional supply has helped relieve the pressure on home prices following the steep gains reported over the past several years. Benchmark prices for each property type have remained relatively stable compared to last month. However, compared to last year, detached and semi-detached prices are over two per cent higher than last year's levels, while apartment and row-style home prices have remained relatively unchanged.

Detached

Detached sales were 1,102 units in April, a year-over-year decline of 16 per cent. While sales eased across most areas of the city, the South East district has seen sales rise over last year's levels. April saw 1,907 new listings come onto the market, and the sales-to-new-listings ratio remained balanced at 58 per cent. Inventories rose to 2,511 units, and the months of supply rose to 2.3 months. While this is a significant gain over the less than one month of supply reported last year at this time, conditions remain relatively tight, especially in the lower price ranges.

In April, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $769,300, similar to last month but over two per cent higher than last April. The added supply choice, combined with uncertainty, has slowed the pace of price growth. However, with a year-over-year gain of nearly five per cent, the City Centre has exhibited stronger price growth than any other district.

 

Semi-Detached

Easing sales in April contributed to the year-to-date decline of nearly 16 per cent. The 190 sales in April were met with 350 new listings, and the sales-to-new-listings ratio fell to 54 per cent. This also caused further gains in inventory levels, which reached 484 units. The rise in inventory did help push the market toward balanced conditions with 2.6 months of supply, a significant improvement over the less than one month reported at this time last year.

The shift toward more balanced conditions has slowed the pace of price growth. In April, the unadjusted benchmark price was $691,700, similar to last month and over three per cent higher than last year. The City Centre reported the largest gain, at over five per cent, while prices in the North remained stable compared to last year.
 

Row

April sales slowed for row homes, contributing to the year-to-date decline of 16 per cent. Meanwhile, new listings continued to rise compared to last year, driving the sales-to-new-listings down to 51 per cent. In April, inventories reached 1,005 units, the highest level reported since 2021, and the months of supply rose to nearly three months. Improved supply has taken some of the pressure off prices,

In April, the unadjusted row price was $457,400, a slight gain over last month, but relatively unchanged compared to April of last year and still below last year's peak price reported in June. The pullbacks reported in the North and North East districts offset year-over-year gains in most districts.
 

Apartment Condominium

April sales eased by nearly 30 per cent over last year's record high but were far stronger than long-term trends. While sales have remained relatively strong, new listings in April reached a record high for the month, supporting further gains in inventory levels. With three months of supply in the city, conditions are considered relatively balanced. However, activity does range significantly based on location, impacting price movements.

The North East district reported the highest months of supply at seven months, resulting in a year-over-year price decline of two per cent and a spread of over seven per cent from last year's high. Overall, the April benchmark price in the city was $336,000, similar to last year but still three per cent lower than last year's record high.
 
REGIONAL MARKET FACTS


Airdrie

For the third month in a row, sales activity eased compared to last year's levels. Despite the declines, sales remain above long-term trends. At the same time, new listings continue to rise, but with 185 sales and 290 new listings in April, the sales-to-new listings ratio reached 64 per cent, an improvement over recent months. Inventory levels continued to trend up this month. However, after three consecutive years of exceptionally low April levels, inventory is now consistent with long-term trends. With 2.3 months of supply, conditions are moving to a more balanced state, taking the pressure off home prices. In April, the total residential price was $544,700, relatively unchanged compared to both last month and last year's levels.

 

Cochrane

For the fourth month in a row, sales activity in the area has remained consistent with last year's levels, resulting in 335 sales so far this year, a nearly five per cent gain over last year and consistent with long-term trends. New listings have also been on the rise, but the sales-to-new-listings ratio has remained at 60 per cent, preventing the doubling of inventory in this market. While inventory levels have improved compared to last year, the 246 units available in April are just shy of long-term trends. Like other areas, improvements in supply have slowed the pace of price growth, but in Cochrane, prices are still edging up. In April, the total residential benchmark price was $592,000, trending up over last month and nearly six per cent higher than prices reported in the previous year and at a record high.


Okotoks

Sales in Okotoks continue to ease compared to last year, contributing to the year-to-date decline of 16 per cent. Over the past few years, sales have been restricted by a lack of supply. However, this year we have started to see a shift. New listings continue to improve in April compared to sales, causing the sales-to-new-listings ratio to ease to 53 per cent, supporting inventory gains. However, with 127 units in inventory in April, levels remain below long-term trends for the month. The modest gains in inventory have slowed the pace of price growth in the area. As of April, the unadjusted benchmark price was $627,100, down slightly from last month, but nearly two per cent higher than last April.

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Congratulations To Our Sellers!

Congratulations to our amazing clients on the successful sale of their acreage!

Here's to fresh starts, exciting journeys & all the wonderful moments that lie ahead.

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Bank Of Canada Hold Policy Rate!

The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 2.75%, with the Bank Rate at 3% and the deposit rate at 2.70%.

The major shift in direction of US trade policy and the unpredictability of tariffs have increased uncertainty, diminished prospects for economic growth, and raised inflation expectations. Pervasive uncertainty makes it unusually challenging to project GDP growth and inflation in Canada and globally. Instead, the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) presents two scenarios that explore different paths for US trade policy. In the first scenario, uncertainty is high but tariffs are limited in scope. Canadian growth weakens temporarily and inflation remains around the 2% target. In the second scenario, a protracted trade war causes Canada’s economy to fall into recession this year and inflation rises temporarily above 3% next year. Many other trade policy scenarios are possible. There is also an unusual degree of uncertainty about the economic outcomes within any scenario, since the magnitude and speed of the shift in US trade policy are unprecedented.

Global economic growth was solid in late 2024 and inflation has been easing towards central bank targets. However, tariffs and uncertainty have weakened the outlook. In the United States, the economy is showing signs of slowing amid rising policy uncertainty and rapidly deteriorating sentiment, while inflation expectations have risen. In the euro area, growth has been modest in early 2025, with continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. China’s economy was strong at the end of 2024 but more recent data shows it slowing modestly.

Financial markets have been roiled by serial tariff announcements, postponements and continued threats of escalation. This extreme market volatility is adding to uncertainty. Oil prices have declined substantially since January, mainly reflecting weaker prospects for global growth. Canada’s exchange rate has recently appreciated as a result of broad US dollar weakness.

In Canada, the economy is slowing as tariff announcements and uncertainty pull down consumer and business confidence. Consumption, residential investment and business spending all look to have weakened in the first quarter. Trade tensions are also disrupting recovery in the labour market. Employment declined in March and businesses are reporting plans to slow their hiring. Wage growth continues to show signs of moderation. 

Inflation was 2.3% in March, lower than in February but still higher than 1.8% at the time of the January MPR. The higher inflation in the last couple of months reflects some rebound in goods price inflation and the end of the temporary suspension of the GST/HST. Starting in April, CPI inflation will be pulled down for one year by the removal of the consumer carbon tax. Lower global oil prices will also dampen inflation in the near term. However, we expect tariffs and supply chain disruptions to push up some prices. How much upward pressure this puts on inflation will depend on the evolution of tariffs and how quickly businesses pass on higher costs to consumers. Short-term inflation expectations have moved up, as businesses and consumers anticipate higher costs from trade conflict and supply disruptions. Longer term inflation expectations are little changed.

Governing Council will continue to assess the timing and strength of both the downward pressures on inflation from a weaker economy and the upward pressures on inflation from higher costs. Our focus will be on ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. This means we will support economic growth while ensuring that inflation remains well controlled.

Governing Council will proceed carefully, with particular attention to the risks and uncertainties facing the Canadian economy. These include: the extent to which higher tariffs reduce demand for Canadian exports; how much this spills over into business investment, employment and household spending; how much and how quickly cost increases are passed on to consumer prices; and how inflation expectations evolve. 

Monetary policy cannot resolve trade uncertainty or offset the impacts of a trade war. What it can and must do is maintain price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is June 4, 2025. The Bank will publish its next MPR on July 30, 2025.

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Happy St Patty's Day!
Wishing you the luck of the Irish today & always—may your home be warm, your heart be light & your real estate dreams be bright! 
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Staging Blunders To Avoid

When priming your home for sale there are some definite missteps you can make if you just “wing it,” which can affect the sale of your home. So, to prevent this from happening, read on for staging mistakes to avoid.

• Hodge-podge of styles — Maintain a cohesive style throughout your home to create a harmonious “look and feel.”

• Personal and bold — Put away your personal photos and mementos and keep your home décor neutral. Buyers want to imagine themselves living in the home, so those personal items can be distracting.

• Simple repairs or updates neglected — Repaint dull or chipped paint and update outdated light fixtures or décor.

• Unprofessional photos — Professionally taken photos are well worth the investment as they will capture the attention of buyers quicker than poorly taken or poor quality photos.

• Layout and size of furniture — If you have a massive sectional occupying most of your living room, it’s going to make the room appear much smaller. If you have room, keep some space between the furniture and the walls to create an illusion of spaciousness.

• Clutter — Perhaps obvious, but those various coloured shampoo bottles in the bathtub and small appliances on the counter create an immediate eyesore for prospective buyers. Declutter and find a home to hide those unsightly items.

• Too little or too much lighting — Strike the right balance using soft, layered lighting throughout your home.

• Grungy linens — It doesn’t have to cost much to refresh your bed linens and towels that will be on display, and it's worth the difference it makes.

• Unpleasant scents — We become accustomed to the familiar smell of our home over time, but even if you think your home smells pleasant, have a friend come over to do the “smell test” and get an outside opinion.


Avoid these common staging mistakes by working with our expert real estate team! We provide professional guidance and staging resources to help your home shine, attract buyers, and sell faster.

Let’s get your home market-ready the right way!

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Sales Remain Above Long-Term Trends Despite Declines
Inventory levels saw substantial year-over-year growth for the second month in a row, rising by 76 per cent to 4,145 units in February. While inventory increases were seen across all price ranges, the largest increases were in homes priced under $500,000.

The increase was driven by substantial growth in the more affordable apartment and row/townhouse sectors. The overall months of supply was 2.4 in February, similar to last month but more than double this time last year. Apartment-style units remained the most well-supplied at 3.1 months.

There were 1,721 sales in February, which was above historical averages for the month but 19 per cent lower than levels seen last year and significantly lower than the record levels seen in the post-pandemic period. New Listings in February reached 2,830, roughly in line with historical averages for the month. The sales-to-new listings ratio for the month was 61 per cent, higher than historical averages but below levels seen in each of the last three years.

“Even though more people listed their homes for sale, there were actually fewer sales than in February 2024. So, we’re seeing the seller’s market of the past two or three years ease off,” said Alan Tennant, President and CEO of CREB®. “In turn, that’s caused the pace at which prices are increasing to slow down a bit, which should come as welcome news for buyers.”

The total residential unadjusted benchmark price in February was $587,600, relatively stable compared to late-2024 and roughly one per cent higher year-over-year. Price changes varied across the city, with the City Centre and North districts seeing declines, while the East district saw the largest price growth at over three per cent.
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5 Mistakes First-Time Homebuyers Make & How To Avoid Them

1 - Skipping Pre-Approval
Pre-approval is like your golden ticket in the home-buying process. It tells you exactly how much you can afford, saving you from falling in love with homes outside your budget. Plus, it shows sellers you’re serious, which can give you an edge in competitive markets. Skipping this step might lead to wasted time or, worse, heartbreak when you realize your dream home is out of reach.

2 - Focusing Only On The Price
The list price is just one piece of the puzzle. There are other costs to consider, like property taxes, homeowners’ insurance, utility bills, maintenance, and HOA fees (if applicable). Ignoring these costs could leave you stretched too thin financially. A home might seem affordable at first glance but could become a burden once you factor in all the hidden expenses.

3 - Overlooking Home Inspections
A home inspection is your safety net—it uncovers potential issues like structural problems, faulty wiring, or plumbing leaks. While it may seem tempting to skip it to save time or money, doing so could cost you thousands down the road. Inspections give you peace of mind and negotiating power if issues are uncovered.

4 - Letting Emotions Take Over
It’s easy to get swept up in the excitement of finding a beautiful home, but decisions driven solely by emotion can lead to regret. That charming house might not meet your long-term needs or fit your lifestyle. By staying practical, you ensure the home you choose is not only beautiful but also functional and a good investment.

5 - Not Using a Realtor
Buying a home is a complex process with many moving parts—negotiations, paperwork, inspections, and more. A skilled realtor is your guide, advocate, and problem-solver. They know the market, can spot red flags, and negotiate on your behalf. Without one, you might miss out on key opportunities or end up paying more than necessary.


Pro Tip:   We're here to make your home-buying experience smooth and successful. Whether you’re buying your 1st home or your 5th, let’s chat! We'll guide you through every step, answer your questions, and help you avoid these pitfalls.

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Divorcing? Consider A Realtor With A Divorce Niche

Divorcing & selling your marital home is an emotional time but having a real estate agent who is experienced working with divorcing couples can help. Consider the following:

• We are experienced in being an objective third party to help with decisions during an emotional time.

• We are knowledgeable in different divorce situations, such as one person buying out the other.

• We have mediation skills for disagreements about home selling decisions and property division, which can lower legal bills, leading to a quicker sale.

• We have knowledge of legal and tax implications related to divorce and selling the matrimonial home and can ensure all paperwork is handled correctly.

• We know how to market the home and will maintain confidentiality about the personal circumstances of their clients. For example, the home must look like the couple is together. If prospective buyers have any indication of a divorce sale, they may make a lowball offer thinking the sellers are desperate to sell quickly.

Divorce is complicated—choosing the right realtor doesn’t have to be. Let us guide you with expertise, discretion, and care!

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Supply Levels Improve In January

Following three consecutive years of limited supply choice, inventory levels in January rose to 3,639 units. While the 70 per cent year-over-year gain is significant, inventory levels remain lower than the over 4,000 units we would typically see in January. Inventories rose across all property types, with some of the largest gains driven by apartment-style condominiums.

“Supply levels are expected to improve this year, contributing to more balanced conditions and slower price growth,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “However, the adjustment in supply is not equal amongst all property types. Compared with sales, we continue to see persistently tight conditions for detached, semi-detached and row properties while apartment condominiums show signs of excess supply for higher priced units.”

Citywide, the months of supply reached 2.5 months in January, an improvement over the one month of supply reported last year, but it is still considered low for a winter month. The month of supply ranged from under two months for semi-detached properties to 3.5 months for apartment-style units.

Rising supply resulted from a boost in new listings compared to sales. New listings rose to 2,896 units in January, compared to 1,451 sales. Sales in January were down by 12 per cent compared to last year. However, even with a pullback in sales, levels remained nearly 30 per cent higher than levels typically recorded in January. 

The total residential benchmark price in January was $583,000, which is relatively stable compared to levels reported at the end of last year and nearly three per cent higher than last January. Price growth ranged across districts within the city as well as property types. 

 

Detached

Driven by gains from homes priced above $600,000, new listings reached 1,228 units in January, which is 29 per cent higher than last year. At the same time, sales activity slowed to 674 units, which brought levels in line with long-term trends. The improvement in new listings relative to sales did help support inventory gains. However, the 1,448 units in inventory are still nearly 27 per cent lower than levels we traditionally see in January, and the months of supply remained relatively low at just over two months. 

While conditions are not as tight as last year, there is some variation within the city districts as more balanced conditions are taking shape in the City Centre and North East districts. In January, the unadjusted benchmark price was $750,800, slightly higher than last month and seven per cent higher than last January. On a seasonally adjusted basis, prices have remained relatively stable since the second half of last year. 

 

Semi-Detached

Like other property types, gains in new listings relative to sales helped support some gains in inventory levels. While the semi-detached sector represents a relatively small share of activity in our market, sales in January did improve over last year, keeping the months of supply just below two months. Within the city, there is some significant variation, as the City Centre, North East, and West districts are all reporting near or above three months of supply, while all other districts have less than two months of supply. 

The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $673,600, slightly lower than last month but over eight per cent higher than levels reported last January. The districts with higher months of supply also reported some modest monthly price declines, offsetting stable to modest gains in the North, North West, South, South East, and East districts.

 

Row

January reported a boost in new listings compared to sales activity. This caused inventory levels to rise to 589 units, more than double the near-record low levels reported last January. The recent rise in new listings has helped bring inventories to levels that are more consistent with long-term trends. At the same time, the months of supply also improved, pushing above two months, a trend that started to play out over the second half of last year. 

Improving supply relative to sales has taken some of the pressure off home prices, but not consistently across the city. Citywide, the unadjusted benchmark price was $444.900, slightly lower than last month and nearly five per cent higher than last year. While prices are higher than last year across all districts, the largest monthly adjustment occurred in the North East district. 
 

Apartment Condominium

Sales in January slowed to 370 units over last year's record high for the month. At the same time, new listings reached 922 units, a new high for January. The gain in new listings relative to sales caused inventories to rise to 1,2,95 units. While sales have remained relatively strong, the gain in supply has pushed the months of supply up to 3.5 months. This is much higher than the levels seen over the past three years but nowhere near the nine months reported in January prior to the pandemic. 

Improved supply choice has weighed on prices over the past five months. In January, the unadjusted benchmark price was $331,400, slightly lower than last month but still five per cent higher than last year's levels. Like other property types, the level of adjustment varies across the city. The largest monthly declines occurred in the North, West and South districts.  
 


REGIONAL MARKET FACTS


Airdrie

Sales in January remained in line with levels reported last month and last year, which were well above long-term trends. However, thanks to a boost in new listings, inventory levels improved, and the months of supply remained above two months for the fifth consecutive month. While 2.6 months of supply is below historical trends for Airdrie, it is a significant improvement over the under two months that has persisted since 2021. More supply in the resale and new home markets has taken some of the pressure off home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $537,300, down over last month but nearly four per cent higher than last year. 

 

Cochrane

Like other areas, Cochrane is seeing improved levels of new listings and inventories in their market. There were 104 new listings in January compared to 71 sales, and inventories pushed up to 156 units. January inventory levels are better than levels reported over the past three years but still fall short of long-term trends for the month. Like Airdrie, it has been the fifth consecutive month with the months of supply above two months, easing the upward pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price in January was $565,900, down over last month but nearly five per cent higher than last January. 
 

Okotoks

Unlike Cochrane and Airdrie, new listings in Okotoks remained relatively low compared to last year. While the pullback in sales did help support some improvements in inventory levels, the 68 units available in January are still half the levels that were available in January prior to the pandemic. Limited supply has driven much of the price gains in this market since 2021. As of January, the unadjusted benchmark price was $614,900, a slight gain over last month and nearly five per cent higher than last year.  
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Bank Of Canada Reduces Policy Rate By 25 Basis Points To 3%, Announces End Of Quantitative Tightening

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3%, with the Bank Rate at 3.25% and the deposit rate at 2.95%.1 The Bank is also announcing its plan to complete the normalization of its balance sheet, ending quantitative tightening. The Bank will restart asset purchases in early March, beginning gradually so that its balance sheet stabilizes and then grows modestly, in line with growth in the economy.2

Projections in the January Monetary Policy Report (MPR) published today are subject to more-than-usual uncertainty because of the rapidly evolving policy landscape, particularly the threat of trade tariffs by the new administration in the United States. Since the scope and duration of a possible trade conflict are impossible to predict, this MPR provides a baseline forecast in the absence of new tariffs.

In the MPR projection, the global economy is expected to continue growing by about 3% over the next two years. Growth in the United States has been revised up, mainly due to stronger consumption. Growth in the euro area is likely to be subdued as the region copes with competitiveness pressures. In China, recent policy actions are boosting demand and supporting near-term growth, although structural challenges remain. Since October, financial conditions have diverged across countries. US bond yields have risen, supported by strong growth and more persistent inflation. In contrast, yields in Canada are down slightly. The Canadian dollar has depreciated materially against the US dollar, largely reflecting trade uncertainty and broader strength in the US currency. Oil prices have been volatile and in recent weeks have been about $5 higher than was assumed in the October MPR.

In Canada, past cuts to interest rates have started to boost the economy. The recent strengthening in both consumption and housing activity is expected to continue. However, business investment remains weak. The outlook for exports is being supported by new export capacity for oil and gas.

Canada’s labour market remains soft, with the unemployment rate at 6.7% in December. Job growth has strengthened in recent months, after lagging growth in the labour force for more than a year. Wage pressures, which have proven sticky, are showing some signs of easing.

The Bank forecasts GDP growth will strengthen in 2025. However, with slower population growth because of reduced immigration targets, both GDP and potential growth will be more moderate than was expected in October. Following growth of 1.3% in 2024, the Bank now projects GDP will grow by 1.8% in both 2025 and 2026, somewhat higher than potential growth. As a result, excess supply in the economy is gradually absorbed over the projection horizon.

CPI inflation remains close to 2%, with some volatility due to the temporary suspension of the GST/HST on some consumer products. Shelter price inflation is still elevated but it is easing gradually, as expected. A broad range of indicators, including surveys of inflation expectations and the distribution of price changes among components of the CPI, suggests that underlying inflation is close to 2%. The Bank forecasts CPI inflation will be around the 2% target over the next two years.

Setting aside threatened US tariffs, the upside and downside risks around the outlook are reasonably balanced. However, as discussed in the MPR, a protracted trade conflict would most likely lead to weaker GDP and higher prices in Canada.

With inflation around 2% and the economy in excess supply, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate a further 25 basis points to 3%. The cumulative reduction in the policy rate since last June is substantial. Lower interest rates are boosting household spending and, in the outlook published today, the economy is expected to strengthen gradually and inflation to stay close to target. However, if broad-based and significant tariffs were imposed, the resilience of Canada’s economy would be tested. We will be following developments closely and assessing the implications for economic activity, inflation and monetary policy in Canada. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians.

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