The year ended with 1,322 sales in December, a three per cent decline over last year, but nearly 20 per cent higher than long-term trends. Overall sales in 2024 were just shy of last year’s levels, as gains for higher-priced homes offset pullbacks in the lower price ranges caused by supply challenges.

“Population gains over the past several years have supported sales activity that has outperformed long-term trends. In 2024, sales would likely have been higher if there was more supply choice, especially in the lower price ranges,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “That being said, we did start to see shifts occurring in the market in the second half of the year as supply levels started to improve for higher priced homes.” 

As of December, there were 2,989 units available in inventory, still below long-term trends for the month but a significant improvement over the lower levels reported last December and levels reported early this year. Improved rental choice and significant gains in new home activity helped boost new listings in the resale market, driving higher inventories in the year's second half. 

While conditions vary depending on price range and property type, more housing options have helped to take some of the pressure off home prices, which stabilized in the second half of the year following steep gains in the spring. Overall, on an annual basis, total residential benchmark prices improved by over seven per cent. 

As we move into 2025, supply will continue to be a dominant theme. However, how they impact prices will ultimately depend on the type of supply being added and how demand holds up in the face of a changing economic climate. On January 21, CREB® will release its forecast report, highlighting the expectations and risks facing the market in the coming year.

Detached

Easing lending rates have likely supported some recent year-over-year gains in detached home sales over the past three months. Improving sales were driven by gains for homes over $600,000, which also reported improvements in new listings. Inventory levels did improve within city limits for detached homes; however, conditions varied across districts. The City Centre, North East and North District all reported relatively balanced conditions over the last quarter of the year, while all other districts continued to struggle with seller market conditions. 

The relatively tight market conditions throughout the year caused prices to rise by nearly eleven per cent in 2024, a faster pace than what was reported in 2023. Much of that growth occurred during spring when supply levels were exceptionally low. Prices grew across all districts, with the strongest growth occurring in the most affordable districts of the North East and East. 

Semi-Detached

Limited supply choice for lower-priced detached homes drove many purchasers toward the semi-detached sector. In 2024, there were 2,355 sales, with an annual gain of five per cent. Thanks to gains in new listings relative to sales, inventory levels started to improve, supporting a shift toward more balanced conditions by the fourth quarter. However, much of this shift occurred in the higher-priced City Centre district, where the months of supply averaged three months in the last quarter. 

The annual average benchmark price increased by nearly 11 per cent to $669,042 in 2024. Like detached homes, exceptionally tight conditions throughout the spring caused the pace of price growth to rise over the seven per cent annual gain reported in 2023. Prices improved across all districts, ranging from an annual gain of under 10 per cent in the City Centre and West to gains exceeding 15 per cent in the North East and East districts.

Row

Apartment Condominium

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

Despite some recent pullbacks, sales activity reached 1,951 units in 2024, a gain of over four per cent compared to last year. The gain, in part, was possible thanks to a boost in new listings that helped add some much-needed supply to the Airdrie market. Much of the inventory gain occurred in the later portion of the year, causing the months of supply to push above two months in September and improve throughout the last quarter of the year.

The shift toward more balanced conditions took some pressure off prices over the last quarter of the year. However, on an annual basis, the benchmark price rose by nearly eight per cent, a faster pace than the previous year. Prices rose across all property types, with faster growth occurring for the relatively more affordable higher-density homes.

Cochrane

Okotoks

As we transition into winter, Calgary's housing market is following typical seasonal trends, with activity slowing compared to the fall. However, year-over-year demand remains relatively strong. In November, increased sales in detached, semi-detached, and row homes offset a decline in apartment condominium sales. The 1,797 sales for November mirrored last year’s levels and remained 20 per cent above long-term trends for the month.

The significant shift lies in supply. Inventory levels rose to 4,352 units in November, a notable increase from the 3,000 units reported last year. Despite the recent gains, inventory levels remain below long-term trends for the month.

“Housing supply has been a challenge over the past several years due to the sudden rise in population,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “Rising new home construction has bolstered supply in rental, new home and resales ownership markets. However, supply improvements vary significantly by location, price range, and property type.”

The months of supply have increased to over two months, representing a shift away from the extremely low levels seen earlier this year and in the past three Novembers, which reported under two months of supply. While these more balanced conditions are promising for potential buyers, many market segments still favour sellers.

Improved supply options have tempered the pace of price growth. Year-over-year gains range from nearly seven per cent for row homes to nine per cent for apartment-style units. The total residential benchmark price reached $587,900, reflecting a year-over-year increase of just under four per cent. This slower growth reflects a shift toward more affordable row and apartment-style units. Seasonally adjusted prices have remained stable over the past four months despite unadjusted prices trending down in line with seasonal patterns.

Detached

Semi-Detached

Row

Apartment Condominium

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

Cochrane

Okotoks

Sales gains for homes priced above $600,000 offset declines at the lower end of the market, resulting in October sales that were similar to last year. The 2,174 sales in October increased over September and stood 24 per cent above long-term trends for the month.

“Housing demand has stayed relatively strong in our market as we move into the fourth quarter, with October sales rising over last month,” said Ann-Marie Lurie, Chief Economist at CREB®. “However, activity would likely have been stronger if more supply choices existed for lower-priced homes. Supply levels in our market are improving relative to the ultra-low levels experienced last year, but much of the gains have been driven by higher-priced units for each property type. This results in conditions far more balanced in the upper end of the market versus the seller's market conditions in the lower to mid-price ranges of each property type.” 

The gains in new listings relative to sales over the past six months have supported inventory gains in the city. As of October, 4,966 units were available, a significant improvement over the near-record low of 3,205 units reported last October. While inventories are starting to reach levels more consistent with long-term trends, the inventory composition has changed as nearly half of all the residential inventory is now priced above $600,000.

Adjustments in supply are helping move the market away from the tight market conditions experienced in the spring. However, conditions remain relatively tight, with 2.3 months of supply and a 67 per cent sales-to-new listings ratio, and the months of supply does vary significantly by price range and property type. For example, detached homes priced below $700,000 are reporting less than two months of supply, while homes priced over $1,000,000 are reporting over three months of supply. This is likely resulting in different price pressures depending on price range and property type.

Overall, the total residential benchmark price was $592,500 in October, over four per cent higher than last October and on a year-to-date basis, averaging over eight per cent higher than last year's levels. The unadjusted benchmark prices did ease slightly over last month due to seasonal factors, as seasonally adjusted prices remained relatively stable in October compared to September. 

Detached

The unadjusted detached benchmark price was $753,900 in October, slightly lower than last month but still eight per cent higher than levels reported last October. Additional supply choices in the higher price ranges have taken some of the pressure off home prices. However, the recent monthly pullbacks are more related to seasonal conditions, as seasonally adjusted prices have remained relatively stable over the past three months.

Semi-Detached

The unadjusted benchmark price was $677,000 in October, similar to last month and over eight per cent higher than last year. Year-to-date prices have averaged an over 11 per cent gain. 

Row

Improvements in supply did cause the months of supply to push above two months in October, the first time that has happened since the end of 2021. Supply growth, especially in the upper price ranges, has helped take some pressure off prices. However, with an unadjusted benchmark price of $456,600, prices are still over eight per cent higher than last October and year-to-date, which have averaged an increase of nearly 16 per cent.

Apartment Condominium

The additional supply choices, especially in the higher ranges of the condominium market, are taking some of the pressure off prices. In October, the unadjusted benchmark price was $341,700, down over last month but still 11 per cent higher than last year's levels. While much of the monthly decline can be attributed to seasonal factors, areas with a relatively high number of newly constructed and completed projects are impacting resale activity, resulting in a slightly higher monthly decline. Nonetheless, on average, year-to-date prices are nearly 17 per cent higher than levels reported last year.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

A shift away from the extreme sellers’ market has reduced the pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price was down over last month in October, but it was still five per cent higher than last October. Some of the monthly decline is related to seasonal factors, as seasonally adjusted data indicates prices remained relatively stable over the past four months.

Cochrane

While conditions are not as tight as in the spring, the shift is slowing the pace of price growth. The unadjusted benchmark price in October was slightly lower than last month but still six per cent higher than last year's levels. Overall year-to-date average benchmark prices are over nine per cent higher than last year's levels.

Okotoks

With less than two months of supply, conditions continue to favour the seller. The persistent seller market conditions have driven price growth in this market throughout most of the year. While unadjusted prices did ease slightly over last month in October, levels are still over six per cent higher than last October and over eight per cent higher on a year-to-date basis.